Jacob Fearnley vs Hugo Gaston — European Open - Brussels Round of 32
Why
Surface+63 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Gaston H.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1622Against the prediction · Gaston H.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Fearnley J.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 893
Hard ELO1 737
Last 106–4
Age25
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $611K
ELO1 836
Hard ELO1 714
Last 106–4
Age26
Height173 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $4.2M2026 $566K
Jacob Fearnley faces Hugo Gaston in the European Open - Brussels round of 32 on hard. Jacob Fearnley holds the paper edge — ranked #87. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Key context
- Under pressure: Jacob Fearnley has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 85 vs Hugo Gaston's 61).
- Fatigue load: Hugo Gaston carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Both 6 of 10 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Common opponents
3 shared · last 12 monthsFearnley J. and Gaston H. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Fearnley J. went 2–2 (50%) against them, Gaston H. 1–2 (33%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).
2–250%Fearnley J. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents1–233%Gaston H. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
4–5Sets3–4
42–46Games31–34
0–0Tiebreaks1–1
1–0Deciding sets0–2
Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.
vs Rublev A.#22L1-6 4-6Paris Masters · hardL7-6(6) 6-7(4) 1-6Hangzhou · hard
vs Dzumhur D.#83W6-3 6-3Indian Wells Masters · hardW5-0Estoril · clay
vs Budkov Kjaer N.#187W3-6 6-3 10-7NOR vs GBR · hardL2-6 6-3 4-6Cincinnati · hard
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Fearnley J.Gaston H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate59% (35–24) (ahead)54% (34–29)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1893 (ahead)1836
Hard-court ELO1737 (ahead)1714
Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 57 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)68%
Return points won40%40%
Aces / match5.0 (ahead)2.6
ClutchLast 56 vs 57 matches
Break points saved57%60% (ahead)
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Jacob Fearnley vs Hugo Gaston — European Open - Brussels Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-20/fearnley-vs-gaston-european-open-brussels-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 20 October 2026).