Andrey Rublev vs Jacob FearnleyParis Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#159ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
Rublev A.
6-1 6-4
Fearnley J.
Rublev A.
662
Fearnley J.
140

Andrey Rublev defeated Jacob Fearnley 6-1 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Fearnley J.

Fearnley J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Fearnley J.
55
Serve
3
52
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.6
5.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (80 vs 70). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
86
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Even
72
70
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+284 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Hard Elo 1565
8.3Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
1.7Overall Elo 1600
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
3.3
Surface form
5.3
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
4.1
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
5.8
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
93
50

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Fearnley J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%