Jacob Fearnley vs Damir DzumhurIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#159ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#105ATP
1638ELO
1596Hard ELO
$528kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
34 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLWL
Fearnley J.
6-3 6-3
Dzumhur D.
Fearnley J.
662
Dzumhur D.
330

Jacob Fearnley defeated Damir Dzumhur 6-3 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Damir Dzumhur came in ranked #105, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Jacob Fearnley claimed a first win over Damir Dzumhur in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-02AthensR32hardDamir Dzumhur6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Fearnley J.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Dzumhur D.

Dzumhur D.serving75% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Fearnley J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fearnley J.Dzumhur D.
3
Serve
2
28
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
54%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
86
70
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
87
Break points won·Slight edge
70
64
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
80
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1565
Surface ELO
5.3+31 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1600
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1638
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.2
Surface form
3.7
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.9
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
4.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
50
76

Fearnley J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 72 games (7d) · Dzumhur D.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%