UMPIRY
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Sorana Cirstea vs Han Shi — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 32

Ningbo Open - NingboR32HardMon 19 Oct · ~13:30Center Court · After 1 match
VSClear favourite · Cirstea S.
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Cirstea S.
68%32%

Clear edge for Cirstea S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Cirstea S.7.3/10
Strong advantage
Shi H.4.0/10
Heavy underdog
Why
Surface+643 Hard Elo edgeSupports Cirstea S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1956Supports Cirstea S.
Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Shi H.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Cirstea S.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO2 042
Hard ELO1 897
Last 105–5
Age36
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $13.1M2026 $2.3M
ELO1 742
Hard ELO1 706
Last 107–3
Age21
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $264K2026 $75K

Sorana Cirstea faces Han Shi in the Ningbo Open - Ningbo round of 32 on hard. Sorana Cirstea is the paper favourite — ranked #16, a roughly 640-point hard Elo advantage — but Han Shi arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 9 on hard to Sorana Cirstea's 5 of 9.

Key context

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Cirstea S. and Shi H. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Cirstea S. went 1–2 (33%) against them, Shi H. 2–1 (67%). Results against comparable opponents are close (0 : 1 better-results split).

1–233%Cirstea S. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents2–167%Shi H. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–4Sets4–3
29–33Games36–31
0–0Tiebreaks1–0
0–0Deciding sets1–0

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Cirstea S.Shi H.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate71% (39–16) (ahead)68% (52–25)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO2042 (ahead)1742
Hard-court ELO1897 (ahead)1706
Serve vs returnLast 53 vs 73 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)63%
Return points won46%48% (ahead)
Aces / match4.3 (ahead)2.2
ClutchLast 53 vs 73 matches
Break points saved57% (ahead)55%

When it starts

Center Court · After 1 match · Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Center Court · ~13:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast30°C · Partly cloudy
Wind3 km/h
Humidity57%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Cirstea S.Shi H.
5 — fresherDays since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
32 — fresherGames · 7 days78
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days8
32 — fresherGames · 14 days178
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sorana Cirstea vs Han Shi — Ningbo Open - Ningbo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-19/cirstea-vs-shi-ningbo-open-ningbo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 19 October 2026).