Jacob Fearnley vs Jan Kumstat | Olbia Round of 16

UMPIRY

OlbiaR16HardThu 15 Oct · 15:00CLOTO ARENA · After 2 matches

Jacob Fearnley(1)ATP #96 · GBR66%

VSSlight edge · Fearnley J.

Jan KumstatATP #191 · CZE34%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Fearnley J.

66%34%

Fearnley J. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Fearnley J.6.3/10

Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Kumstat J.6.6/10

Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form4 of last 7 on hardAgainst the prediction · Kumstat J.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 892

Hard ELO1 735

Last 106–4

Age25

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $611K

ELO1 678

Hard ELO1 528

Last 109–1

Age19

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $76K2026 $50K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Fearnley J.Kumstat J.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–49–1

Season win rate58% (32–23)79% (31–8)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18921678

Hard-court ELO17351528

Serve vs returnLast 52 vs 36 matches

1st-serve points won71%77%

Return points won40%39%

Aces / match5.27.7

ClutchLast 52 vs 36 matches

Break points saved56%67%

When it starts

CLOTO ARENA · After 2 matches · Not before 15:00

1Gentzsch T. v Kravchenko G.Starts at 11:00
2Kuzmanov D. v Dzumhur D.Followed by
3This match: Fearnley J. v Kumstat J.This match
4Mrva M. v Maestrelli F.Not before 17:00

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CLOTO ARENA · 15:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium-slow

Forecast27°C · Mainly clear

Wind16 km/h

Humidity44%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Fearnley J.Kumstat J.

1Days since last match1

1Matches · 7 days1

16Games · 7 days26

2Matches · 14 days1

32Games · 14 days26

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jacob Fearnley vs Jan Kumstat — Olbia Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/fearnley-vs-kumstat-olbia-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).