Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Damir Dzumhur | Olbia Round of 16

UMPIRY

OlbiaR16HardThu 15 Oct · ~12:30CLOTO ARENA · After 1 match

Dimitar KuzmanovATP #367 · BUL47%

VSToss-up

Damir Dzumhur(2)ATP #103 · BIH53%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

47%53%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Kuzmanov D.5.7/10

Slight disadvantage

Dzumhur D.6.4/10

Marginal edge

Why

Surface+171 Hard Elo edgeSupports Dzumhur D.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1638Supports Dzumhur D.

Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Kuzmanov D.

Head-to-headTrails 0–1 on hardInformative

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Kuzmanov D.

ELO1 730

Hard ELO1 638

Last 107–3

Age33

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $925K2026 $36K

ELO1 801

Hard ELO1 649

Last 104–6

Age34

Height175 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $7.1M2026 $735K

Dimitar Kuzmanov faces Damir Dzumhur in the Olbia round of 16 on hard. Damir Dzumhur is the paper favourite — ranked #103, leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 170-point hard Elo advantage — but Dimitar Kuzmanov arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 6 on hard to Damir Dzumhur's 2 of 6.

Key context

Under pressure: In the tight moments, Damir Dzumhur has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 63 vs 16).
Freshness: Dimitar Kuzmanov comes in with 1 days of rest and 66 games in 14d, vs Damir Dzumhur's 1 and 95.
Last match: Dimitar Kuzmanov dropped just 2 games past S. Massellani.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

3 meetings · Dzumhur D. leads 2–1

Hard: Dzumhur D. leads 1–0 · Clay: level 1–1

Dzumhur D.January 2023Australian OpenHard6-3 6-1
Kuzmanov D.October 2021Barcelona CHClay6-4 6-4
Dzumhur D.May 2013Bulgaria F1Clay6-3 6-4

Evidence

Kuzmanov D.Dzumhur D.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–34–6

Season win rate59% (41–29)40% (19–29)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17301801

Hard-court ELO16381649

Serve vs returnLast 67 vs 46 matches

1st-serve points won66%62%

Return points won41%40%

Aces / match1.91.3

ClutchLast 67 vs 46 matches

Break points saved59%54%

When it starts

CLOTO ARENA · After 1 match · Followed by

1Gentzsch T. v Kravchenko G.Starts at 11:00
2This match: Kuzmanov D. v Dzumhur D.This match
3Fearnley J. v Kumstat J.Not before 15:00
4Mrva M. v Maestrelli F.Not before 17:00

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CLOTO ARENA · ~12:30 local

SurfaceHard · medium-slow

Forecast26°C · Clear

Wind1 km/h

Humidity35%

Court pace medium-slow: favours grinders.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Kuzmanov D.Dzumhur D.

1Days since last match1

3Matches · 7 days3

50Games · 7 days77

4Matches · 14 days4

66Games · 14 days95

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Damir Dzumhur — Olbia Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-15/dzumhur-vs-kuzmanov-olbia-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 15 October 2026).