Sonay Kartal vs Belinda Bencic | Wuhan Round of 32

UMPIRY

WuhanR32HardWed 14 Oct · 11:00Court 2 · Next on

Sonay KartalWTA #170 · GBR40%

VSSlight edge · Bencic B.

Belinda Bencic(9)WTA #12 · SUI60%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Bencic B.

40%60%

Bencic B. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Kartal S.6.2/10

Even match

Bencic B.6.8/10

Slight advantage

Why

Surface+120 Hard Elo edgeSupports Bencic B.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1989Supports Bencic B.

This eventReached the last 16 here last yearSupports Bencic B.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO1 939

Hard ELO1 809

Last 106–4

Age24

Height163 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.0M2026 $326K

ELO2 050

Hard ELO1 905

Last 105–5

Age29

Height175 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $17.4M2026 $2.6M

Sonay Kartal faces Belinda Bencic in the Wuhan round of 32 on hard. Belinda Bencic is the paper favourite — ranked #12, defending last year's round of 16, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage — but Sonay Kartal arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 8 on hard to Belinda Bencic's 4 of 8.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Sonay Kartal 72 games in 14 days, Belinda Bencic 39.
Stage: Belinda Bencic defends last year's round of 16.
Surface form: Sonay Kartal 5 of 8, Belinda Bencic 4 of 8 on hard recently — Sonay Kartal the sharper of late.

Common opponents

7 shared · last 12 months

Kartal S. and Bencic B. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Kartal S. went 3–4 (43%) against them, Bencic B. 5–4 (56%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 3 better-results split).

3–443%Kartal S. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents5–456%Bencic B. · better vs 3

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

8–9Sets13–10

80–82Games111–108

1–3Tiebreaks2–1

1–2Deciding sets2–3

vs Svitolina E.#6L4-6 7-6 6-7Auckland · hardL6-4 1-6 3-6Dubai · hard
vs Keys M.#20W2-6 6-2 6-3Indian Wells · hardL6-4 3-6 2-6Charleston · clay
vs Kalinskaya A.#21L6-7 1-6Australian Open · hardL4-6 3-6Rome · clay

Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Bouzkova M.#28L6-7(2) 6-4 4-6Billie Jean King Cup · hardW6-3 6-7 6-4BJK Cup Qualifiers · hard
vs Bejlek S.#30L0-6 2-6Abu Dhabi · hardW7-6 6-2Charleston · clay
vs Wang X.#39W6-3 6-2Beijing · hardW7-5 6-0Wimbledon · grass
vs Hunter S.#150W6-4 6-1Dubai · hardW6-3 6-2Indian Wells · hard

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kartal S.Bencic B.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–45–5

Season win rate64% (14–8)68% (30–14)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19392050

Hard-court ELO18091905

Serve vs returnLast 21 vs 39 matches

1st-serve points won67%68%

Return points won44%46%

Aces / match2.51.9

ClutchLast 21 vs 39 matches

Break points saved50%57%

When it starts

Court 2 · Next on · Starting at 11:00 AM

1This match: Kartal S. v Bencic B.This match
2Jovic I. v Yastremska D.Followed by
3Tjen J. v Snigur D.Followed by

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Court 2 · 11:00 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast23°C · Clear

Wind12 km/h

Humidity62%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Kartal S.Bencic B.

1Days since last match8

1Matches · 7 days0

21Games · 7 days0

4Matches · 14 days2

72Games · 14 days39

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sonay Kartal vs Belinda Bencic — Wuhan Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-14/bencic-vs-kartal-wuhan-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 14 October 2026).