Madison Keys vs Belinda BencicCharleston Quarter-final

Charleston · WTA · Quarter-final
#22WTA
1987ELO
1894Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#11WTA
1989ELO
1849Clay ELO
$1.8MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
Keys M.
4-6 6-3 6-2
Bencic B.
Keys M.
4662
Bencic B.
6321

Madison Keys defeated Belinda Bencic 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the Charleston quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 16. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-05Indian WellsQFhardMadison Keys6-1 6-1
2022-04-04CharlestonR16clayBelinda Bencic6-4 6-4
2021-03-01DohaR32hardMadison Keys6-4 6-1
2015-06-22EastbourneR32grassBelinda Bencic6-2 6-2
2015-05-25Roland GarrosR64clayMadison Keys6-0 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Bencic B.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Keys M.Bencic B.
Serve
38
Return
21

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
89
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Even
90
94
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+45 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1849
4.6Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1989
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
5.1
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
6.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.7
Country comfort
5.7
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
77
79

Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Bencic B.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 44%