Madison Keys vs Belinda BencicIndian Wells Quarter-final

Indian Wells · WTA · Quarter-final
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 March 2025
hard
#11WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
Keys M.
6-1 6-1
Bencic B.
Keys M.
662
Bencic B.
110

Madison Keys defeated Belinda Bencic 6-1 6-1 in the Indian Wells quarter-final on hard. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

32
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30CharlestonQFclayMadison Keys4-6 6-3 6-2
2022-04-04CharlestonR16clayBelinda Bencic6-4 6-4
2021-03-01DohaR32hardMadison Keys6-4 6-1
2015-06-22EastbourneR32grassBelinda Bencic6-2 6-2
2015-05-25Roland GarrosR64clayMadison Keys6-0 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Bencic B.

Bencic B.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Keys M.Bencic B.
36
Serve
57
29
Return
55

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (66 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
89
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Even
90
94
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 51 days (−0.7)
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1920
Surface ELO
5.6+32 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1989
5.0
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
8.6
10.014-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
9.0
7.7
Country comfort
5.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
77
79

Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Bencic B.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw