Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa — Wuhan Round of 128
Why
Surface+23 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Yastremska D.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1792Against the prediction · Yastremska D.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headLeads 2–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Yastremska D.
This eventReached the R64 here last yearAgainst the prediction · Yastremska D.
ELO1 825
Hard ELO1 690
Last 104–6
Age26
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $6.8M2026 $727K
ELO1 835
Hard ELO1 747
Last 105–5
Age28
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $5.1M2026 $1.0M
Dayana Yastremska faces Cristina Bucsa in the Wuhan round of 128 on hard. Dayana Yastremska is the paper favourite — leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 64, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage — but Cristina Bucsa arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 6 on hard to Dayana Yastremska's 2 of 6.
Key context
- Freshness: Dayana Yastremska comes in with 8 days of rest and 52 games in 14d, vs Cristina Bucsa's 17 and 0.
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Cristina Bucsa rising, Dayana Yastremska cooling.
- Head-to-head: Dayana Yastremska leads the head-to-head 2–0. Last met at Doha 2026.
Common opponents
7 shared · last 12 monthsYastremska D. and Bucsa C. faced 7 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Yastremska D. went 4–3 (57%) against them, Bucsa C. 4–4 (50%). Results against comparable opponents are close (3 : 2 better-results split).
4–357%Yastremska D. · better vs 3Record vs common opponents4–450%Bucsa C. · better vs 2
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
8–6Sets10–8
69–58Games89–86
1–0Tiebreaks2–0
0–0Deciding sets1–1
vs Svitolina E.#7L1-6 4-6Doha · hardL4-6 1-6Australian Open · hard
vs Mboko V.#15W6-3 7-6Ningbo · hardL5-7 7-6 2-6Hong Kong · hard
vs Paolini J.#20L5-7 3-6Roland Garros · clayW7-5 6-4Merida · hard
Show 4 more ▾Show less ▴
vs Chwalinska M.#21W6-3 6-1Beijing · hardL2-6 2-6Cincinnati · hard
vs Bejlek S.#29W6-1 6-2s Hertogenbosch · grassW7-5 4-6 6-1US Open · hard
vs Zhang S.#57W6-3 6-2Indian Wells · hardL6-2 5-7Strasbourg · clay- vs Stakusic M.#198L4-6 3-6Merida · hardW7-6 6-3Merida · hard
Head-to-head
2 meetings · Yastremska D. leads 2–020
- Yastremska D.February 2026DohaHard6-4 4-6 7-6
- Yastremska D.February 2022LyonHard6-2 6-3
Evidence
Yastremska D.Bucsa C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate46% (18–21) (ahead)41% (14–20)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18251835 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16901747 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 30 matches
1st-serve points won61%61%
Return points won43%44% (ahead)
Aces / match2.1 (ahead)1.1
ClutchLast 39 vs 30 matches
Break points saved50% (ahead)46%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa — Wuhan Round of 128", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-13/bucsa-vs-yastremska-wuhan-r128?utm_source=cite (as of 13 October 2026).