Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika | Jinan Qualifying Round of 16

UMPIRY

JinanQ16QualifyingHardMon 12 Oct · 13:30CENTER COURT · After 1 match

Liam DraxlATP #219 · CAN62%

VSSlight edge · Draxl L.

Omar JasikaATP #422 · AUS38%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Draxl L.

62%38%

Draxl L. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Draxl L.6.1/10

Even match

Jasika O.4.1/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+293 Hard Elo edgeSupports Draxl L.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1592Supports Draxl L.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Draxl L.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 768

Hard ELO1 685

Last 106–4

Age24

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $718K2026 $267K

ELO1 677

Hard ELO1 647

Last 106–4

Age29

Height183 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $807K2026 $50K

Liam Draxl faces Omar Jasika in the Jinan qualifying round of 16 on hard. Liam Draxl holds the paper edge — ranked #219, a roughly 290-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Freshness: Liam Draxl comes in with 5 days of rest and 56 games in 14d, vs Omar Jasika's 1 and 144.
Under pressure: In the tight moments, Liam Draxl has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 66 vs 0).
Last match: Omar Jasika dropped just 3 games past Petr Bar Biryukov.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Draxl L.Jasika O.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–46–4

Season win rate60% (35–23)59% (36–25)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17681677

Hard-court ELO16851647

Serve vs returnLast 38 vs 43 matches

1st-serve points won68%66%

Return points won40%39%

Aces / match5.11.7

ClutchLast 38 vs 43 matches

Break points saved55%59%

When it starts

CENTER COURT · After 1 match · Not before 13:30

1Ivashka I. v Uchida K.Starts at 12:00
2This match: Draxl L. v Jasika O.This match
3Walton A. v Cilic M.Not before 18:30

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · 13:30 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast25°C · Overcast

Wind7 km/h

Humidity42%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Draxl L.Jasika O.

5Days since last match1

2Matches · 7 days4

56Games · 7 days82

2Matches · 14 days7

56Games · 14 days144

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika — Jinan Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-10-12/draxl-vs-jasika-jinan-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 12 October 2026).