Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Laura PigossiTolentino Open - Tolentino Round of 32

Tolentino Open - Tolentino · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#154WTA
1478ELO
1447Clay ELO
$202kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
34 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LWWLWWLWWW
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 3rd on
#224WTA
1478ELO
1453Clay ELO
$173kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
32 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWWWLWW
Gorgodze E.
vs
Pigossi L.

Ekaterine Gorgodze faces Laura Pigossi in the Tolentino Open - Tolentino round of 32 on clay. Laura Pigossi holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Gorgodze E.54%
Pigossi L.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
5 common opponents · Gorgodze E. 3–3 · Pigossi L. 0–5
Both lost · same surface, 28 days apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1447
Surface ELO
5.1+6 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1478
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1478
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

47 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
78%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
55%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
53%
53%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Gorgodze E.serving34% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Pigossi L.

Pigossi L.serving40% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Gorgodze E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
24
39
Break points saved·Even
20
19
Break points won·Even
84
85
Deciding sets·Dominant
23
67
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
92

Gorgodze E.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d) · Pigossi L.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on Court 1 · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Zaar L. v Masarova R.
    7-51-65-7
  2. 2Erjavec V. v Tsygourova K.Live
    4-66-31-1
  3. 3Gorgodze E. v Pigossi L.This match
  4. 4Struplova J. v De Stefano S.

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CMainly clear
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 43%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-04-04BogotaR16clayLaura Pigossi6-3 6-2

Draw