Lisa Zaar vs Rebeka Masarova β€” Tolentino Open - Tolentino Round of 32

Tolentino Open - Tolentino Β· CHALLENGER Β· Round of 32
#294WTA
1527ELO
1499Clay ELO
$37kYTD
$108kCAREER
26 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLWLLWWWLW
1 β€” 2
Sets
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 Β·
clay
Court 1 Β· 1st on
#173WTA
1773ELO
1714Clay ELO
$241kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
27 yrs Β· 186 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLLLLLLWL
Zaar L.
7-5 1-6 5-7
Masarova R.
Zaar L.
7151
Masarova R.
5672

Rebeka Masarova defeated Lisa Zaar in the Round of 32 at the Tolentino Open in Tolentino, a clay court event. The match ended with a score of 5-7, 6-1, 7-5 in favor of Masarova. Masarova hit 4 aces and 9 double faults, while converting 40% of break points and winning 6 service breaks, compared to Zaar's 0 aces, 4 double faults, 36% break point conversion, and 4 service breaks.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum Β· Final
Zaar L.9/15
Masarova R.12/16

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Clear edge
80%
62%
1st serve points wonΒ·Clear edge
56%
71%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
42%
46%
Service points wonΒ·Slight edge
54%
62%
Return points wonΒ·Clear edge
53%
41%
Break points savedΒ·Even
56%
59%
Aces / matchΒ·Dominant
0.1
6.3
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
2.0
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 49). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 07:50 UTC
Zaar L.30%
Masarova R.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Masarova R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Clay Elo 1499
Surface ELO
7.7+215 Clay Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1527
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1773
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Slight edge
76
87

Zaar L.: 1 day rest Β· 1 match, 31 games (7d) Β· Masarova R.: 5 days rest Β· 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20Β°CPartly cloudy
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw