Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Dominika SalkovaSao Paulo Round of 32

Sao Paulo · WTA · Round of 32
#93WTA
1721ELO
1664Hard ELO
$843kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWLWLL
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
Quadra Central Maria Esther Bueno · 1st on
#125WTA
1618ELO
1614Hard ELO
$206kYTD
$617kCAREER
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLLWWWLW
Bouzas Maneiro J.
vs
Salkova D.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro faces Dominika Salkova in the Sao Paulo round of 32 on hard. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro holds the paper edge — ranked #93, a roughly 50-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Bouzas Maneiro J.53%
Salkova D.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Bouzas Maneiro J. 1–0 · Salkova D. 0–1 · small sample
Bouzas Maneiro J. better · same surface · 8 months apart
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.6+49 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1614
6.3Overall Elo 1721
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1618
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.14 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.45 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

34 vs 43 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
42%
Service points won·Even
54%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.7
Double faults / match·Even
3.8
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bouzas Maneiro J.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Salkova D.

Salkova D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Bouzas Maneiro J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
18
58
Break points saved·Dominant
4
75
Break points won·Slight edge
93
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
24
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
16
26

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
95

Bouzas Maneiro J.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Salkova D.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

1st on Quadra Central Maria Esther Bueno · Starting at 1:00 PM · up next on court

  1. 1Bouzas Maneiro J. v Salkova D.This match
  2. 2Semenistaja D. v Badosa P.
  3. 3Lamens S. v Alves C.

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
17°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 84%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw