Suzan Lamens vs Carolina Alves — Sao Paulo Round of 32

Sao Paulo · WTA · Round of 32
Suzan Lamens
NED
Suzan Lamens
#182WTA
1622ELO
1573Hard ELO
$318kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWLWLWWLL
—
Sets
Tuesday, 15 September 2026 ·
hard
Quadra Central Maria Esther Bueno · 4th on
Carolina Alves
BRAWC
Carolina Alves
#296WTA
1280ELO
1275Hard ELO
$26kYTD
$465kCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm
Last 10
LWLWWWWWWW
Lamens S.
vs
Alves C.

Suzan Lamens faces Carolina Alves in the Sao Paulo round of 32 on hard. Suzan Lamens holds the paper edge — ranked #182, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 300-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Lamens S.69%
Alves C.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Lamens S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Suzan Lamens comes in with 7 days of rest and 19 games in 14d, vs Carolina Alves's 6 and 39.
  • Head-to-head: Suzan Lamens leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at W25 Anapoima 2022.
  • Stage: Carolina Alves defends last year's round of 32.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
1 common opponents · Lamens S. 1–0 · Alves C. 0–1 · small sample
Lamens S. better · different surfaces (Hard × Clay) · ⚠ lower-tier event▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Lamens S.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Alves C.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.7+298 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.3Hard Elo 1275
9.3Overall Elo 1622
ELO gap
0.7Overall Elo 1280
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
3.33 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.73 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

32 vs 26 matches

Statistics

This season
Lamens S.Alves C.
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Lamens S.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Alves C.

Alves C.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Lamens S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Lamens S.Alves C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
17
11
Break points saved·Even
6
9
Break points won·Clear edge
85
72
Deciding sets·Clear edge
17
40
Tiebreaks·
—
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Lamens S.Alves C.
Freshness·Slight edge
95
90

Lamens S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Alves C.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
14°CDrizzle
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 97%

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-03-18W25 AnapoimaQFclaySuzan Lamens6-4 6-4

Draw