Luca Staeheli vs Roger Pascual Ferra — Tiburon Qualifying Round of 16
Staeheli L.
Luca Staeheli faces Roger Pascual Ferra in the Tiburon qualifying round of 16 on hard. Luca Staeheli holds the paper edge — ranked #446.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Luca Staeheli dropped the opening set before beating Maxwell Exsted 4–6 6–4 6–3.
- Fatigue load: Luca Staeheli carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadStaeheli L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Pascual Ferra R.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
1st on CHUANG/DE LEON FAMILY COURT · Starts At 10:00 · up next on court
- 1Staeheli L. v Pascual Ferra R.This match
- 2Legout T. v Ostapenkov D.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.