Timo Legout vs Daniil OstapenkovTiburon Qualifying Round of 16

Tiburon · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round of 16
#445ATP
$24kYTD
$89kCAREER
24 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWWLW
Sets
Monday, 14 September 2026 ·
hard
CHUANG/DE LEON FAMILY COURT · 2nd on
#556ATP
$12kYTD
$55kCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWLWWL
Legout T.
vs
Ostapenkov D.

Timo Legout faces Daniil Ostapenkov in the Tiburon qualifying round of 16 on hard. Timo Legout holds the paper edge — ranked #445.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Legout T.49%
Ostapenkov D.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
6.9Won 81% in USA (27)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

5 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
50%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
7.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Legout T.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ostapenkov D.

Ostapenkov D.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Legout T.

Serve advantage — Legout T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
89
89

Legout T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Ostapenkov D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

2nd on CHUANG/DE LEON FAMILY COURT · Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Staeheli L. v Pascual Ferra R.
  2. 2Legout T. v Ostapenkov D.This match

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
23°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 52%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw