Hugo Dellien vs Matej Dodig — Genoa Round of 16
Dellien H.
Hugo Dellien faces Matej Dodig in the Genoa round of 16 on clay. Hugo Dellien is the paper favourite — ranked #140, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage — but Matej Dodig arrives in form, winning all 6 of their last clay matches to Hugo Dellien's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Dellien H. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Hugo Dellien 162 games in 14 days, Matej Dodig 135.
- Last match: Hugo Dellien dropped just 5 games past Felipe Meligeni Alves.
- Last match: Matej Dodig advanced when Franco Agamenone retired.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDellien H.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 91 games (7d) · Dodig M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 118 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Roland Garros | SF | clay | Hugo Dellien | 1-6 4-6 |