Matej Dodig vs Enrico Dalla Valle — Genoa Quarter-final

Genoa · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
CRO
Matej Dodig
#254ATP
1461ELO
1430Clay ELO
$154kYTD
$347kCAREER
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 11 September 2026 ·
clay
Center Court · 2nd on
Enrico Dalla Valle
ITAALT
Enrico Dalla Valle
#333ATP
1462ELO
1439Clay ELO
$43kYTD
$249kCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWLW
Dodig M.
6-7 6-2 7-6
Dalla Valle E.
Dodig M.
646772
Dalla Valle E.
772651

Matej Dodig advanced to the semifinals of the Genoa tournament, defeating Enrico Dalla Valle in a three-set match. Dodig won 6-7, 6-2, 7-6, with key contributions including 7 aces and 2 service breaks. Dalla Valle had 5 aces but was unable to capitalize on any break point opportunities.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Momentum · Final
Dodig M.4/12
Dalla Valle E.6/20

hold to 0/15to 30to 40 / deucebroken

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Dodig M.Dalla Valle E.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.8
3.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Dodig M.Dalla Valle E.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
33
26
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
58
Break points won·Even
3
7
Deciding sets·Slight edge
47
53
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
65
45

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Dodig M.47%
Dalla Valle E.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Dodig M.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Dalla Valle E.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.9Clay Elo 1430
Surface ELO
5.1+9 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1461
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1462
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.39 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Dodig M.Dalla Valle E.
Freshness·Even
51
53

Dodig M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 92 games (7d) · Dalla Valle E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw