Ben Shelton vs Denis ShapovalovUS Open Round of 32

US Open · ATP · Round of 32
#9ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW
3 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 5 September 2026 ·
hard
#48ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWWW
Shelton B.
7-6 6-7 6-3 6-4
Shapovalov D.
Shelton B.
7765663
Shapovalov D.
6377341

Ben Shelton advanced to the US Open Round of 16 with a four-set win over Denis Shapovalov in the Round of 32. Shelton took the match 7-6, 6-7, 6-3, 6-4. He served 10 aces to Shapovalov's 7 and converted 56% of his break points to secure the victory.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Ben Shelton closed it out in four sets, 7–6 6–7 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09DallasSFhardBen Shelton4-6 6-4 7-6
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR64hardBen Shelton6-3 7-5
2024-07-29WashingtonQFhardBen Shelton7-6 6-6
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassBen Shelton6-7 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
60%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
63%
Return points won·Even
31%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.7
7.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
80
81
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Dominant
47
73
Deciding sets·Slight edge
96
91
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
74

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Shelton B.78%
Shapovalov D.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shelton B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+146 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Hard Elo 1775
7.4Overall Elo 1960
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1771
8.2Leads 3–0 on hard
H2H
1.8Trails 0–3 on hard
8.28 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
53
69

Shelton B.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 118 games (7d) · Shapovalov D.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw