Ben Shelton vs Denis ShapovalovDallas Semi-final

Dallas · ATP · Semi-final
#5ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Shelton B.
4-6 6-4 7-6
Shapovalov D.
Shelton B.
46772
Shapovalov D.
64641

Ben Shelton defeated Denis Shapovalov 4-6 6-4 7-6 in the Dallas semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Ben Shelton came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 16. Ben Shelton extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersR64hardBen Shelton6-3 7-5
2024-07-29WashingtonQFhardBen Shelton7-6(5) 6-6 DEF
2024-07-01WimbledonR32grassBen Shelton6-7(4) 6-2 6-4 4-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Shelton B.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Shapovalov D.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Shelton B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shelton B.Shapovalov D.
75
Serve
25
18
Return
70

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
60%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
72%
63%
Return points won·Even
32%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.0
7.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
86
85
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Clear edge
58
71
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
92
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+147 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1775
7.1Overall Elo 1960
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1771
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.7
Surface form
4.4
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
98

Shelton B.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Shapovalov D.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast