Lanlana Tararudee vs Linda NoskovaUS Open Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Round of 64
#72WTA
1678ELO
1686Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWWLWW
Sets
Thursday, 3 September 2026 ·
hard
#6WTA
1976ELO
1913Hard ELO
$6.2MYTD
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWWW
Tararudee L.
vs
Noskova L.

Lanlana Tararudee faces Linda Noskova in the US Open round of 64 on hard. Linda Noskova holds the paper edge — ranked #6, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 230-point hard Elo advantage.

Around the match

  • Noskova recovered from 5-2 down to dominate, winning 11 of final 12 games against Volynets 7-5, 6-1.

    Noskova L.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Tararudee L.27%
Noskova L.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Noskova L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Tararudee L. 3–3 · Noskova L. 4–2
Noskova L. better · different surfaces (Grass × Clay)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Hard Elo 1686
Surface ELO
7.8+226 Hard Elo edge
1.3Overall Elo 1678
ELO gap
8.7Overall Elo 1976
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

58 vs 32 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
6.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (58 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tararudee L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Noskova L.

Noskova L.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Tararudee L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
90
Break points saved·Slight edge
77
86
Break points won·Even
86
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
94
Tiebreaks·
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
88

Tararudee L.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Noskova L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 94%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw