Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges — Cincinnati Round of 32
Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 32
RUS13#18ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 18 August 2026 ·
hard
P&G STADIUM COURT · 1st on
POR#47ATP
1769ELO
1714Hard ELO
$811kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWLW
Rublev A.3-6 4-6
Borges N.
Rublev A.
340
Borges N.
662
Nuno Borges defeated Andrey Rublev in the Round of 32 of the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-3, 6-4 on hard courts. Borges hit 8 aces to Rublev's 5 and converted 75% of his break points compared to Rublev's 25%. Borges won the match by taking 3 service breaks to Rublev's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Nuno Borges closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.
Head to head
5–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Roland Garros | R32 | clay | Andrey Rublev | 5-7 |
| 2026-04-05 | Monte Carlo Masters | R64 | clay | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 1-6 6-1 |
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | QF | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | R16 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2024-10-21 | Basel | R32 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 6-3 6-2 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
68%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.2
6.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTCRublev A.55%
Borges N.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
6.7+134 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO3.3Hard Elo 1714
6.7Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap3.3Overall Elo 1769
8.2Leads 3–0 on hard
H2H1.8Trails 0–3 on hard
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form6.76 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 71%