Andrey Rublev vs Nuno BorgesHong Kong Quarter-final

Hong Kong · ATP · Quarter-final
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
#48ATP
1769ELO
1714Hard ELO
$811kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
Rublev A.
6-3 6-4
Borges N.
Rublev A.
662
Borges N.
340

Andrey Rublev defeated Nuno Borges 6-3 6-4 in the Hong Kong quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 5–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-29Roland GarrosR32clayAndrey Rublev5-7 6.2-7.7 6.2-7.7
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersR64clayAndrey Rublev6-4 1-6 6-1
2025-02-17DohaR16hardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-4
2024-10-21BaselR32hardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Borges N.

Borges N.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Borges N.
55
Serve
36
52
Return
16

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
61%
Aces / match·Even
6.2
6.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
77
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
72
54
Deciding sets·Even
97
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 64 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
6.9+134 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Hard Elo 1714
7.1Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1769
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.3
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
90

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Borges N.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast