Sara Bejlek vs Karolina PliskovaCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 128
#35WTA
1776ELO
1749Hard ELO
$682kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 163 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 4 · 1st on
#57WTA
1869ELO
1811Hard ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
Bejlek S.
6-0 6-2
Pliskova K.
Bejlek S.
662
Pliskova K.
020

Sara Bejlek defeated Karolina Pliskova in the Round of 128 of the Cincinnati hard-court tournament, winning 6-0, 6-2. Bejlek hit 0 aces and 2 double faults, while Pliskova had 2 aces and 9 double faults. Bejlek converted 67% of her break points and won 6 service breaks to Pliskova's 1.

Around the match

  • Pliskova has made a remarkable return from severe ankle surgery that sidelined her for nearly all of 2025, climbing back into the top 70 with strong results in Australia and Madrid.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-16NottinghamR32grassKarolina Pliskova6-2 2-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.8
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
79
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
77
86
Break points won·Even
97
93
Deciding sets·Even
95
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
61
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Bejlek S.47%
Pliskova K.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1749
Surface ELO
5.8+62 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1776
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1869
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
68
94

Bejlek S.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 62 games (7d) · Pliskova K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw