Hubert Hurkacz vs Marcos Giron — Montreal Round of 128
POLPR
USAQ
Hurkacz H.
Hubert Hurkacz faces Marcos Giron in the Montreal round of 128 on hard. Hubert Hurkacz holds the paper edge — ranked #71, leading the head-to-head 4–0, a roughly 20-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Hurkacz H. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Serve & return: Hubert Hurkacz leads on Serve Rating (72), Marcos Giron on Return Rating (35).
- Under pressure: Hubert Hurkacz has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 63 vs Marcos Giron's 41).
- Last match: Marcos Giron dropped the opening set before beating Pablo Llamas Ruiz 2–6 6–3 6–1.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGiron M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
4–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | R32 | clay | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 1-6 6-1 |
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | R32 | hard | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-4 6-7 6-4 |
| 2024-06-17 | Halle | QF | grass | Hubert Hurkacz | 7-6 6-4 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | R64 | grass | Hubert Hurkacz | 6-3 6-2 6-4 |