Hubert Hurkacz vs Marcos GironTokyo Round of 32

Tokyo · ATP · Round of 32
#68ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 25 September 2024
hard
#87ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$495kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
32 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWL
Hurkacz H.
6-4 6-7 6-4
Giron M.
Hurkacz H.
66562
Giron M.
47741

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Marcos Giron 6-4 6-7 6-4 in the Tokyo round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Hubert Hurkacz came in ranked #68, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Hubert Hurkacz edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR32clayHubert Hurkacz6-3 1-6 6-1
2024-06-17HalleQFgrassHubert Hurkacz7-6(5) 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Giron M.

Giron M.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Hurkacz H.Giron M.
67
Serve
29
0
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
78%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
12.5
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 130). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
62
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Even
40
42
Deciding sets·Dominant
94
56
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 44 days (−1.0)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
5.0+22 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Hard Elo 1704
5.5Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1718
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
3.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
87

Hurkacz H.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Giron M.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 31 km/hHumidity 64%