Coleman Wong vs Jenson BrooksbyLos Cabos Quarter-final

Los Cabos · ATP · Quarter-final
#108ATP
1602ELO
1593Hard ELO
$287kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
22 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWWLLL
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
#77ATP
1694ELO
1682Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWLWL
Wong C.
vs
Brooksby J.

Coleman Wong faces Jenson Brooksby in the Los Cabos quarter-final on hard. Jenson Brooksby holds the paper edge — ranked #77, a roughly 90-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Wong C.39%
Brooksby J.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Brooksby J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
6 common opponents · Wong C. 2–4 · Brooksby J. 3–4
Both lost · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1593
Surface ELO
6.1+89 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1602
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1694
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
64%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.9
2.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Wong C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Brooksby J.

Brooksby J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Wong C.

Serve advantage — Wong C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
42
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
86
Break points won·Dominant
5
82
Deciding sets·Dominant
43
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
88
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
60
74

Wong C.: played today · 3 matches, 66 games (7d) · Brooksby J.: played today · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 90%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw