Coleman Wong vs Arthur Gea — Los Cabos Semi-final
HKG
FRA
Wong C.
Coleman Wong faces Arthur Gea in the Los Cabos semi-final on hard. Coleman Wong is the paper favourite — ranked #108 — but Arthur Gea arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 8 on hard to Coleman Wong's 6.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Gea A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Coleman Wong comes in with 0 days of rest and 125 games in 14d, vs Arthur Gea's 0 and 169.
- Last match: Arthur Gea dropped the opening set before beating Francisco Cerundolo 6–7 6–4 6–0.
- Surface form: Coleman Wong 6 of 8, Arthur Gea 7 of 8 on hard recently — Arthur Gea the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.