Ayana Akli vs Lucrezia StefaniniW100 Evansville Round of 16

W100 Evansville · ITF · Round of 16
#265WTA
1381ELO
1397Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
#142WTA
1527ELO
1497Hard ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWW
Akli A.
6-7 1-6
Stefanini L.
Akli A.
6310
Stefanini L.
7762

Lucrezia Stefanini defeated Ayana Akli in the Round of 16 at the W100 Evansville tournament, winning 7-6, 6-1 on hard courts. Stefanini converted 78% of her break points and won 55% of her first-serve points, while Akli converted 50% of her break points and won 38% of her first-serve points. Stefanini secured 7 service breaks to Akli's 4.

Key context

  • Match story: Lucrezia Stefanini came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
76%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
52%
52%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
52%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
0.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.4
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Akli A.33%
Stefanini L.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Stefanini L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1397
Surface ELO
6.3+100 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1381
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1527
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
81

Stefanini L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw