Veronika Erjavec vs Julia GrabherKitzbuhel Semi-final

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#105WTA
1629ELO
1610Clay ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLWLLLW
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
#116WTA
1613ELO
1593Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLLLWLWL
Erjavec V.
vs
Grabher J.

Veronika Erjavec faces Julia Grabher in the Kitzbuhel semi-final on clay. Veronika Erjavec holds the paper edge — ranked #105, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Erjavec V.54%
Grabher J.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Freshness: Veronika Erjavec comes in with 2 days of rest and 49 games in 14d, vs Julia Grabher's 2 and 87.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Veronika Erjavec has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 81 vs 55).
  • Win streak: Both arrive on three-match winning runs.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+17 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1593
5.2Overall Elo 1628
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1613
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.37 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

27 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
47%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
47%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Erjavec V.serving51% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Grabher J.

Grabher J.serving38% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Erjavec V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
81
55
Break points saved·Dominant
83
39
Break points won·Even
94
91
Deciding sets·Even
82
83
Tiebreaks·
63

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
71

Erjavec V.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Grabher J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
20°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 77%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw