Nuria Brancaccio vs Julia GrabherAntalya 125 3 Round of 16

Antalya 125 3 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#170WTA
1494ELO
1486Clay ELO
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 10 March 2026
clay
#116WTA
1613ELO
1593Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLL
Brancaccio N.
3-6 6-3 6-1
Grabher J.
Brancaccio N.
3662
Grabher J.
6311

Nuria Brancaccio defeated Julia Grabher 3-6 6-3 6-1 in the Antalya 125 3 round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Julia Grabher came in ranked #116, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Nuria Brancaccio claimed a first win over Julia Grabher in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-08RomeR128clayJulia Grabher6-4 3-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Brancaccio N.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Grabher J.

Grabher J.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Brancaccio N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
43%
Service points won·Even
54%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
47%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
12
55
Break points saved·Slight edge
30
39
Break points won·Even
95
91
Deciding sets·Dominant
16
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
63

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1486
Surface ELO
5.9+106 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1494
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1613
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
100
88

Brancaccio N.: 19 days rest · Grabher J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast