Julia Grabher vs Sinja Kraus — Kitzbuhel Final
Grabher J.Julia Grabher faces Sinja Kraus in the Kitzbuhel final on clay. Sinja Kraus holds the paper edge — ranked #94, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 100-point clay Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Kraus S. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Sinja Kraus dropped the opening set before beating Marina Bassols Ribera 3–6 6–4 6–1.
- Last match: Julia Grabher dropped just 5 games past Veronika Erjavec.
- Fatigue load: Julia Grabher carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGrabher J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Kraus S.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Auckland | R32 | hard | Sinja Kraus | 6-3 6-3 |