Daniel Elahi Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans — Bunschoten Quarter-final
Galan D.
Daniel Elahi Galan faces Kimmer Coppejans in the Bunschoten quarter-final on clay. Kimmer Coppejans is the paper favourite — ranked #199, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage — but Daniel Elahi Galan has won their only previous meeting. Daniel Elahi Galan brings the better recent clay form (6 of 8).
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Daniel Elahi Galan 27 games in 14 days, Kimmer Coppejans 93.
- Last match: Kimmer Coppejans dropped just 4 games past Louis Wessels.
- Last match: Daniel Elahi Galan edged Filippo Romano in two tight sets (7–5 6–4).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadGalan D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Coppejans K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | Q3 | clay | Daniel Elahi Galan | 5-7 7-6(4) 6-4 |