Daniel Elahi Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans — Lyon Quarter-final
Lyon · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
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Sets
Friday, 12 June 2026 ·
clay
Daniel Elahi Galan faces Kimmer Coppejans in the Lyon quarter-final on clay. Kimmer Coppejans is the paper favourite — ranked #212, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage — but Daniel Elahi Galan has won their only previous meeting. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Key context
- Last match: Daniel Elahi Galan dropped the opening set before beating Marco Trungelliti 6–7 6–3 7–5.
- Last match: Kimmer Coppejans dropped the opening set before beating Alejandro Moro Canas 6–7 6–1 6–1.
- Fatigue load: Kimmer Coppejans carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Head-to-head: Daniel Elahi Galan leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Roland Garros 2021.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTCGalan D.44%
Coppejans K.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1482
Surface ELO5.5+43 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1522
ELO gap5.4Overall Elo 1551
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H5.0First meeting on clay
5.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form6.26 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.3Won 56% in FRA (27)
Country comfort5.5Won 59% in FRA (29)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather forecast
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 53%
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-05-31 | Roland Garros | Q3 | clay | Daniel Elahi Galan | 5-7 7-6(4) 6-4 |
Statistics
Recent form65%1st serve in+1%64%
65%1st serve points won+1%66%
50%2nd serve points won+3%47%
60%Service points won+1%59%
39%Return points won+5%44%
55%Break points saved+9%64%
3.1Aces / match3.1
2Double faults / match+1.83.8
Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Draw
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
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