Guy Den Ouden vs Kimmer CoppejansBunschoten Semi-final

Bunschoten · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#231ATP
1495ELO
1484Clay ELO
$84kYTD
$332kCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWLLLW
Sets
Saturday, 18 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 2nd on
#199ATP
1544ELO
1513Clay ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWLWW
Den Ouden G.
vs
Coppejans K.

Guy Den Ouden faces Kimmer Coppejans in the Bunschoten semi-final on clay. Kimmer Coppejans holds the paper edge — ranked #199, a roughly 30-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Den Ouden G.47%
Coppejans K.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1484
Surface ELO
5.4+29 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1495
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1544
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
8.18 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

17 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
49%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Den Ouden G.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Coppejans K.

Coppejans K.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Den Ouden G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
26
25
Break points saved·Even
72
68
Break points won·
36
Deciding sets·Slight edge
19
29
Tiebreaks·Even
35
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
64
70

Den Ouden G.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 60 games (7d) · Coppejans K.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 71 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather forecast
19°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 70%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw