Martina Colmegna vs Barbora PalicovaKitzbuhel Round of 32

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#359WTA
1277ELO
1266Clay ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 14 July 2026 ·
clay
#322WTA
1380ELO
1374Clay ELO
22 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
Colmegna M.
6-3 6-7 1-6
Palicova B.
Colmegna M.
66411
Palicova B.
37762

Barbora Palicova defeated Martina Colmegna in the Round of 32 at Kitzbuhel. Palicova came back from a set down to win 3-6, 7-6, 6-1. The two players converted the same number of service breaks, five each.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
55%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.6
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Colmegna M.31%
Palicova B.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Palicova B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1266
Surface ELO
6.3+108 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1277
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1380
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
62

Colmegna M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Palicova B.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw