Barbora Palicova vs Martina ColmegnaKitzbuhel Qualifying Final

Kitzbuhel · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#307WTA
1380ELO
1374Clay ELO
22 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 12 July 2026 ·
clay
KÜCHENMEISTER · 1st on
#351WTA
1277ELO
1266Clay ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLLLW
Palicova B.
3-6 6-7
Colmegna M.
Palicova B.
3620
Colmegna M.
6772

Martina Colmegna reeled off eight straight games on the way to a 6-3 7-6 win over Barbora Palicova in the Kitzbuhel qualifying final.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 2: A 13-point game with four deuces went Barbora Palicova's way.
  • Set 2, game 2: Martina Colmegna broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Barbora Palicova converted 5 of 11 break points; Martina Colmegna converted 7 of 10 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Palicova B.
Colmegna M.
Break points won
5/11
7/10
Break points saved
3/10
6/11

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Palicova B.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Colmegna M.

Colmegna M.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Palicova B.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
74%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
0.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:20 UTC
Palicova B.73%
Colmegna M.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Palicova B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+108 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1266
5.1Overall Elo 1380
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1277
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Palicova B.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw — qualifying