Katie Volynets vs Ariana Arseneault — Newport Round of 32
Volynets K.
Katie Volynets faces Ariana Arseneault in the Newport round of 32 on grass. Katie Volynets holds the paper edge — ranked #101, a roughly 340-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 21:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Volynets K. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Katie Volynets 56 games in 14 days, Ariana Arseneault 24.
- Last match: Ariana Arseneault edged Victoria Osuigwe in two tight sets (7–5 7–5).
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadVolynets K.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Arseneault A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on CENTER COURT 1 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Lincer O. v Maria T.
- 2Volynets K. v Arseneault A.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.