Momoko Kobori vs Elizabeth MandlikNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#338WTA
1355ELO
1342Grass ELO
27 yrs · 158 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWLWWWL
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
grass
#165WTA
1542ELO
1521Grass ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWLWWLLW
Kobori M.
vs
Mandlik E.

Momoko Kobori faces Elizabeth Mandlik in the Newport round of 32 on grass. Elizabeth Mandlik holds the paper edge — ranked #165, a roughly 180-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:20 UTC
Kobori M.15%
Mandlik E.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Mandlik E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.8Grass Elo 1342
Surface ELO
7.2+179 Grass Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1355
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1542
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on grass
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

10 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
54%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
43%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.2
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kobori M.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Mandlik E.

Mandlik E.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Kobori M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Kobori M.: 20 days rest · Mandlik E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
20°CRain
Wind 26 km/hHumidity 94%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.