Madison Brengle vs Ana Sofia SanchezNewport

Newport · CHALLENGER
#223WTA
1575ELO
1489Grass ELO
36 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWLWW
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
grass
#305WTA
1345ELO
1347Grass ELO
32 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
LLLLLLLWWW
Brengle M.
vs
Sanchez A.

Madison Brengle faces Ana Sofia Sanchez in the Newport match on grass. Madison Brengle holds the paper edge — ranked #223, a roughly 140-point grass Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC
Brengle M.89%
Sanchez A.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Brengle M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
6.8+142 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Grass Elo 1347
6.4Overall Elo 1575
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1344
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.53 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Hard → Grass
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Brengle M.Surging
Sanchez A.Sliding

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

37 vs 21 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
78%
75%
1st serve points won·Even
54%
55%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
45%
Service points won·Even
52%
52%
Return points won·Even
50%
49%
Break points saved·Even
50%
52%
Aces / match·Even
0.3
0.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Brengle M.serving41% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Sanchez A.

Sanchez A.serving39% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Brengle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
7
42
Break points saved·Slight edge
7
1
Break points won·Slight edge
98
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
8
95
Tiebreaks·
46

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Sanchez A.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.