Mili Poljicak vs Alejo Sanchez QuilezMilan Qualifying Semi-final

Milan · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#347ATP
1493ELO
1463Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 28 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 10 · 2nd on
#498ATP
1293ELO
1268Clay ELO
21 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Poljicak M.
7-6 4-6 2-6
Sanchez Quilez A.
Poljicak M.
77421
Sanchez Quilez A.
65662

Alejo Sanchez Quilez fought back from a set down to beat Mili Poljicak 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Milan qualifying semi-final.

Key context

  • Set 3, game 1: Alejo Sanchez Quilez broke serve.
  • Set 3, game 3: Mili Poljicak saved three break points to hold serve.
  • Pressure points: Mili Poljicak converted 1 of 5 break points; Alejo Sanchez Quilez converted 4 of 11 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Poljicak M.
Sanchez Quilez A.
Break points won
1/5
4/11
Break points saved
7/11
4/5

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Poljicak M.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Sanchez Quilez A.

Sanchez Quilez A.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Poljicak M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Even
61%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.2
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:20 UTC
Poljicak M.90%
Sanchez Quilez A.10%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Poljicak M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+194 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Clay Elo 1268
7.5Overall Elo 1493
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1293
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
68
75

Poljicak M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 62 games (7d) · Sanchez Quilez A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 31 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 50%