Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Arnaboldi — Milan Qualifying Semi-final

Milan · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
Enrico Dalla Valle
ITA4
Enrico Dalla Valle
#359ATP
1479ELO
1457Clay ELO
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLWW
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Sunday, 28 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 10 · 4th on
Federico Arnaboldi
ITAALT
Federico Arnaboldi
#585ATP
1328ELO
1289Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Dalla Valle E.
6-2 3-1
Arnaboldi F.
Dalla Valle E.
631
Arnaboldi F.
210

Enrico Dalla Valle advanced when Federico Arnaboldi retired 6-2 3-1 in the Milan qualifying semi-final.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Dalla Valle E.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Arnaboldi F.

Arnaboldi F.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Dalla Valle E.

Serve advantage — Dalla Valle E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Dalla Valle E.Arnaboldi F.
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
65%
53%
Aces / match·Even
3.7
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Dalla Valle E.Arnaboldi F.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
30
39
Break points saved·Clear edge
58
41
Break points won·Slight edge
7
15
Deciding sets·Clear edge
60
80
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
80

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:21 UTC
Dalla Valle E.87%
Arnaboldi F.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Dalla Valle E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Dalla Valle E.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Arnaboldi F.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+168 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1289
6.9Overall Elo 1479
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1328
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.47 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Dalla Valle E.Arnaboldi F.
Freshness·Clear edge
79
92

Dalla Valle E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d) · Arnaboldi F.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 12 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
34°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 34%