Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna vs Juan Manuel La SernaPiracicaba

Piracicaba · CHALLENGER
1326ELO
1315Clay ELO
26 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
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Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
clay
#298ATP
1435ELO
1420Clay ELO
22 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWWW
Rodriguez Taverna S.
vs
La Serna J.

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna faces Juan Manuel La Serna in the Piracicaba match on clay. Juan Manuel La Serna holds the paper edge — a roughly 110-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC
Rodriguez Taverna S.23%
La Serna J.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · La Serna J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1315
Surface ELO
6.3+106 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1326
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1435
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.38 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

17 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
45%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
1.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Rodriguez Taverna S.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs La Serna J.

La Serna J.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Rodriguez Taverna S.

Serve advantage — La Serna J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
87

Rodriguez Taverna S.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · La Serna J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.