Nicolas Kicker vs Bruno FernandezPiracicaba Round of 32

Piracicaba · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#340ATP
1380ELO
1369Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWWLWWL
Sets
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
clay
QUADRA CENTRAL · 3rd on
#614ATP
1183ELO
1174Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLLWWLWWL
Kicker N.
vs
Fernandez B.

Nicolas Kicker faces Bruno Fernandez in the Piracicaba round of 32 on clay. Nicolas Kicker holds the paper edge — ranked #340, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC
Kicker N.75%
Fernandez B.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kicker N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+195 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Clay Elo 1174
7.5Overall Elo 1380
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1183
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

18 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
52%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kicker N.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Fernandez B.

Fernandez B.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Kicker N.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
92

Kicker N.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Fernandez B.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

When it starts

3rd on QUADRA CENTRAL · not before Followed By · up next on court

  1. 3Kicker N. v Fernandez B.This match
  2. 4Kohlmann De Freitas E. v La Serna J.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather forecast
17°CDrizzle
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 86%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.