Anna Blinkova vs Yulia Putintseva — Bad Homburg Qualifying Semi-final
Blinkova A.
Anna Blinkova faces Yulia Putintseva in the Bad Homburg qualifying semi-final on grass. Yulia Putintseva is the paper favourite — ranked #85, defending last year's round of 32, a roughly 80-point grass Elo advantage — but Anna Blinkova has won 2 of their 3 previous meetings, though none on grass.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Putintseva Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Anna Blinkova 122 games in 14 days, Yulia Putintseva 16.
- Serve & return: Yulia Putintseva leads on Serve Rating (15), Anna Blinkova on Return Rating (52).
- Head-to-head: Anna Blinkova leads the head-to-head 2–1; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Hong Kong 2023.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadBlinkova A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d) · Putintseva Y.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
2nd on COURT 2 · not before Followed by · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 1Parry D. v Ito A.
- 2Blinkova A. v Putintseva Y.This match
- 3Trevisan M. v Townsend T.
- 4Zhang S. v Ruse E.
Conditions
Head to head
2–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-09 | Hong Kong | R32 | hard | Anna Blinkova | 6-4 2-6 5-1 RET |
| 2023-01-09 | Hobart | QF | hard | Anna Blinkova | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2019-09-30 | Beijing | R64 | hard | Yulia Putintseva | 6-0 6-1 |