Martina Trevisan vs Taylor Townsend — Bad Homburg Qualifying Semi-final
Trevisan M.
Martina Trevisan faces Taylor Townsend in the Bad Homburg qualifying semi-final on grass. Taylor Townsend holds the paper edge — ranked #81, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 320-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Townsend T. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: Taylor Townsend has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 75 vs Martina Trevisan's 51).
- Head-to-head: Taylor Townsend leads the head-to-head 2–0; this is their first meeting on grass. Last met at Beijing 2024.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadTrevisan M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
3rd on COURT 2 · not before Followed by · 2 matches still to finish ahead
- 1Parry D. v Ito A.
- 2Blinkova A. v Putintseva Y.
- 3Trevisan M. v Townsend T.This match
- 4Zhang S. v Ruse E.
Conditions
Head to head
0–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-25 | Beijing | R128 | hard | Taylor Townsend | 6-2 4-6 6-3 |
| 2024-08-26 | US Open | R128 | hard | Taylor Townsend | 6-2 7-5 |