Jurij Rodionov vs Colton Smith — Dublin Round of 16
Rodionov J.
Jurij Rodionov faces Colton Smith in the Dublin round of 16 on grass. Jurij Rodionov holds the paper edge — ranked #153.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Rodionov J. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Jurij Rodionov comes in with 9 days of rest and 39 games in 14d, vs Colton Smith's 1 and 50.
- Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Colton Smith rising, Jurij Rodionov cooling.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadRodionov J.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Smith C.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.