Sho Shimabukuro vs Colton SmithIndian Wells Masters Qualifying Round 1

Indian Wells Masters · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#95ATP
1672ELO
1606Hard ELO
$268kYTD
$1.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
0 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#181ATP
1577ELO
1566Hard ELO
$154kYTD
$480kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
Shimabukuro S.
7-6 7-5
Smith C.
Shimabukuro S.
7772
Smith C.
655

Sho Shimabukuro defeated Colton Smith 7-6 7-5 in the Indian Wells Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Sho Shimabukuro came in ranked #95, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Sho Shimabukuro extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersQ1hardSho Shimabukuro7-6(5) 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Shimabukuro S.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Smith C.

Smith C.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Shimabukuro S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.4
4.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
42
62
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
94
Break points won·Clear edge
31
52
Deciding sets·Dominant
50
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+41 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1566
6.6Overall Elo 1672
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1577
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.4
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.5
Minutes 14d
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
100

Shimabukuro S.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Smith C.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast