Jurij Rodionov vs Yi Zhou — Dublin Quarter-final
Rodionov J.
Jurij Rodionov faces Yi Zhou in the Dublin quarter-final on grass. Jurij Rodionov is the paper favourite — ranked #152, a roughly 80-point grass Elo advantage — but Yi Zhou arrives in form, winning all 4 of their last grass matches to Jurij Rodionov's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 20:22 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Rodionov J. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Jurij Rodionov 60 games in 14 days, Yi Zhou 93.
- Surface form: Jurij Rodionov 3 of 4, Yi Zhou 4 of 4 on grass recently — Yi Zhou the sharper of late.
- Win streak: Yi Zhou arrives on a 4-match winning run.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadRodionov J.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Zhou Y.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.